Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.529276 1.655815 1.789692 1.942192 2.111466 2.294018 2.506340
2025-12-28 1.339383 1.513792 1.708637 1.943629 2.220924 2.539651 2.936500
2026-01-04 1.224579 1.428154 1.664910 1.963018 2.331773 2.777472 3.363864
2026-01-11 1.142298 1.366092 1.634948 1.985654 2.436884 3.006070 3.791647
2026-01-18 1.075719 1.313981 1.608201 2.003828 2.530619 3.220748 4.215289
2026-01-25 1.014458 1.261833 1.574637 2.006549 2.599347 3.402728 4.606948
2026-02-01 0.944922 1.193107 1.513182 1.965073 2.601451 3.489384 4.866811
2026-02-08 0.889476 1.138605 1.465766 1.937277 2.617447 3.592984 5.156915
2026-02-15 0.845964 1.096944 1.432209 1.924956 2.652354 3.723863 5.498066
2026-02-22 0.824043 1.082926 1.434965 1.963143 2.762192 3.973488 6.050942
2026-03-01 0.788247 1.047398 1.405044 1.950951 2.794050 4.103692 6.418962
2026-03-08 0.751821 1.008934 1.368504 1.925959 2.803243 4.196905 6.731194
2026-03-15 0.705347 0.954563 1.307051 1.860871 2.746702 4.181684 6.856644
2026-03-22 0.682404 0.933067 1.292556 1.866758 2.803918 4.359662 7.352379
2026-03-29 0.664809 0.918381 1.287124 1.885959 2.883548 4.581649 7.956527
2026-04-05 0.649119 0.905622 1.283668 1.907611 2.968136 4.818777 8.619253
2026-04-12 0.633428 0.892012 1.277995 1.924910 3.045886 5.049627 9.298763
2026-04-19 0.615289 0.873790 1.264104 1.927500 3.097524 5.235959 9.909059
2026-04-26 0.588713 0.841472 1.226511 1.888071 3.071029 5.271169 10.195105
2026-05-03 0.566726 0.815385 1.197605 1.861640 3.065946 5.346616 10.579513
2026-05-10 0.549238 0.795639 1.177961 1.849923 3.086889 5.474691 11.101479
2026-05-17 0.542774 0.792977 1.185769 1.886236 3.200115 5.798874 12.136537
2026-05-24 0.526942 0.774734 1.167157 1.874644 3.220656 5.932806 12.724315